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Red334
1209112.4
3247130.2
2773107.2
Blue234
680997.6
6464106.5
5801160.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2142830100400500600334234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#28
130.27.5
102.1109.6
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End20.7
blue by 29.8
5801
#25
160.10.9
153.1154.1
Auto18.2
Teleop127.1
End15.0
Second
1209
#42
112.41.1
107.7106.7
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7
red by 5.9
6464
#51
106.50.8
101.2102.0
Auto14.0
Teleop87.6
End4.4
Third
2773
#20
107.20.6
96.196.7
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End3.8
red by 9.6
6809
#54
97.63.0
85.888.8
Auto11.7
Teleop77.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed