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Qual 32018 Oklahoma Regional
Red282
3163115.7
5550149.3
2165127.2
Blue186
345794.9
2354127.3
5930134.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122440100200400500282186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#7
149.30.8
138.1→138.9
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
red by 14.8
5930
#18
134.516.4
71.0→87.4
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Second
2165
#52
127.215.8
76.0→91.9
Auto17.1
Teleop95.1
End14.4
Level
2354
#37
127.315.9
75.1→91.0
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
Third
3163
#35
115.716.2
72.5→88.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.8
End9.8
red by 20.8
3457
#60
94.917.4
62.3→79.7
Auto9.5
Teleop74.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed