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Red119
2424108.1
1209112.4
3612116.3
Blue409
5550149.3
1806171.7
400594.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173300100300400500600119409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#33
116.33.2
111.0114.2
Auto14.6
Teleop82.1
End22.0
blue by 55.4
171.70.4
154.5154.9
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
Second
1209
#42
112.40.3
106.7107.0
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7
blue by 37.0
149.30.4
139.9140.3
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
Third
2424
#43
108.15.3
98.5103.8
Auto13.1
Teleop82.8
End12.7
red by 13.3
4005
#47
94.92.5
101.899.3
Auto14.3
Teleop74.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed