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Red258
5930134.5
144896.9
1296168.1
Blue469
2773107.2
3593154.6
2373126.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317261100200400500600258469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.11.6
157.0158.6
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
red by 13.6
154.60.3
144.9145.1
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Second
5930
#18
134.58.1
106.4114.4
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
red by 8.2
2373
#38
126.35.7
109.3115.0
Auto17.8
Teleop95.0
End12.0
Third
1448
#39
96.93.2
97.1100.3
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.6
blue by 10.2
2773
#20
107.21.7
96.798.3
Auto14.5
Teleop88.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed