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Red388
2395128.9
2354127.3
1806171.7
Blue160
349893.0
3284148.0
3160116.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342240100200300400500600388160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.71.1
154.9156.0
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
red by 23.7
3284
#31
148.01.2
152.3151.1
Auto19.5
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
2395
#15
128.90.1
124.1124.0
Auto14.8
Teleop95.3
End19.3
red by 12.5
3160
#12
116.40.1
113.0113.1
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5
Third
2354
#37
127.35.5
104.5110.0
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
red by 34.3
3498
#57
93.00.9
95.896.7
Auto12.1
Teleop72.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed