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Red177
31113.7
3612116.3
400594.9
Blue302
3593154.6
3507114.2
1785110.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303080100400500600700177302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#33
116.30.4
114.2114.6
Auto14.6
Teleop82.1
End22.0
blue by 38.3
154.61.4
145.1146.6
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Second
31
#41
113.71.8
109.3111.0
Auto13.5
Teleop92.3
End10.6
blue by 0.6
3507
#44
114.21.1
119.6118.5
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End10.0
Third
4005
#47
94.91.4
99.397.9
Auto14.3
Teleop74.3
End6.3
blue by 16.1
1785
#45
110.91.1
110.3109.2
Auto16.5
Teleop86.2
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed