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Red149
5611107.1
2335111.7
2424108.1
Blue318
2354127.3
1750120.0
680997.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262244100150200300350400450149318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2335
#13
111.72.2
102.7104.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.5
End2.8
blue by 15.6
2354
#37
127.36.0
110.0116.0
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
Second
2424
#43
108.12.4
105.6108.0
Auto13.1
Teleop82.8
End12.7
blue by 11.8
1750
#30
120.03.8
106.4110.2
Auto15.5
Teleop90.6
End12.9
Third
5611
#50
107.14.3
102.4106.7
Auto12.6
Teleop88.6
End4.1
red by 9.6
6809
#54
97.60.6
91.490.8
Auto11.7
Teleop77.1
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed