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Red239
932156.0
2398112.7
2461107.3
Blue463
3931162.7
3593154.6
5550149.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063980100300500600239463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#32
156.00.3
153.0152.7
Auto21.3
Teleop118.4
End18.4
blue by 6.7
3931
#11
162.70.6
155.3155.9
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
Second
2398
#40
112.72.5
107.1109.6
Auto9.7
Teleop89.1
End12.0
blue by 41.9
154.61.6
146.6148.2
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Third
2461
#59
107.31.9
101.2103.1
Auto12.4
Teleop78.4
End15.4
blue by 42.1
149.31.3
141.3142.7
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned