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Red125
6730108.9
3612116.3
2398112.7
Blue329
3160116.4
5437140.9
2335111.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281285150200250350400450125329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3612
#33
116.315.1
83.198.2
Auto14.6
Teleop82.1
End22.0
blue by 24.5
5437
#58
140.91.4
137.5138.9
Auto18.7
Teleop101.0
End21.7
Second
2398
#40
112.717.2
64.281.4
Auto9.7
Teleop89.1
End12.0
blue by 3.7
3160
#12
116.40.4
111.6112.1
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5
Third
6730
#48
108.917.2
64.181.3
Auto13.8
Teleop83.5
End14.4
blue by 2.8
2335
#13
111.717.6
60.778.2
Auto16.0
Teleop91.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed