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Red271
3179149.0
5437140.9
2354127.3
Blue282
3247130.2
1296168.1
315299.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334281100200400500271282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#16
149.00.2
146.8147.0
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End22.6
blue by 19.2
168.11.6
159.6161.2
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
Second
5437
#58
140.90.1
141.8141.9
Auto18.7
Teleop101.0
End21.7
red by 10.6
3247
#28
130.22.4
123.6126.0
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End20.7
Third
2354
#37
127.36.4
116.0122.4
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
red by 27.6
3152
#36
99.71.7
96.297.9
Auto11.6
Teleop79.3
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed