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Qual 712018 Oklahoma Regional
Red286
2333158.5
5578128.9
3163115.7
Blue359
3179149.0
2461107.3
1209112.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336253100200300400500600286359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#14
158.51.7
155.6→157.4
Auto18.5
Teleop123.8
End15.2
red by 9.6
3179
#16
149.00.1
147.0→147.1
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End22.6
Second
5578
#24
128.95.0
117.8→122.8
Auto14.4
Teleop99.6
End15.6
red by 16.5
1209
#42
112.41.1
106.2→107.3
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7
Third
3163
#35
115.70.7
115.4→114.8
Auto16.0
Teleop91.8
End9.8
red by 8.5
2461
#59
107.31.6
103.1→104.8
Auto12.4
Teleop78.4
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed