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Red195
4933100.0
2165127.2
31113.7
Blue415
2335111.7
2359148.0
1806171.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1873700100300400500600195415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#52
127.20.2
127.3127.1
Auto17.1
Teleop95.1
End14.4
blue by 44.4
171.72.5
159.9162.3
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
Second
31
#41
113.70.4
113.1113.4
Auto13.5
Teleop92.3
End10.6
blue by 34.3
148.01.3
142.2143.5
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End21.7
Third
4933
#55
100.00.3
99.399.6
Auto12.1
Teleop82.6
End5.7
blue by 11.7
2335
#13
111.71.4
106.2107.6
Auto16.0
Teleop91.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed