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Red348
2765151.6
6464106.5
400594.9
Blue141
6891104.2
6026141.6
2373126.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277297100150200250350400450500348141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.61.0
148.8149.9
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
red by 10.0
6026
#29
141.61.4
142.0143.5
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3
Second
6464
#51
106.50.3
106.2106.5
Auto14.0
Teleop87.6
End4.4
blue by 19.7
2373
#38
126.30.5
126.8126.3
Auto17.8
Teleop95.0
End12.0
Third
4005
#47
94.91.1
96.094.9
Auto14.3
Teleop74.3
End6.3
blue by 9.3
6891
#53
104.20.6
103.6104.2
Auto15.5
Teleop75.7
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed