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Qual 862018 Oklahoma Regional
Red246
2333158.5
2395128.9
1209112.4
Blue261
5930134.5
2398112.7
2335111.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322269100200400500246261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#14
158.50.0
158.7→158.7
Auto18.5
Teleop123.8
End15.2
red by 24.0
5930
#18
134.53.4
128.0→131.4
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Second
2395
#15
128.91.4
127.1→128.6
Auto14.8
Teleop95.3
End19.3
red by 16.2
2398
#40
112.71.4
111.3→112.7
Auto9.7
Teleop89.1
End12.0
Third
1209
#42
112.41.6
109.1→110.6
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7
red by 0.7
2335
#13
111.73.1
107.6→110.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed