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Red273
345794.9
3163115.7
2341146.2
Blue446
3612116.3
1296168.1
2352178.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224160100300500600273446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#22
146.20.6
145.5146.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End20.3
blue by 32.1
178.22.0
172.5174.5
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
Second
3163
#35
115.71.3
114.4115.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.8
End9.8
blue by 52.4
168.11.7
164.8166.5
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
Third
3457
#60
94.91.5
96.494.9
Auto9.5
Teleop74.7
End11.6
blue by 21.4
3612
#33
116.31.6
114.7116.3
Auto14.6
Teleop82.1
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed