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Red401
1806171.7
2352178.2
932156.0
Blue287
5930134.5
2359148.0
1209112.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422259100200300500600700401287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.20.5
176.3176.8
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
red by 30.2
148.00.6
147.4148.0
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End21.7
Second
171.70.9
168.4169.3
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
red by 37.2
5930
#18
134.50.8
133.7134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
932
#32
156.00.2
155.2155.4
Auto21.3
Teleop118.4
End18.4
red by 43.6
1209
#42
112.40.5
111.9112.4
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7