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Red262
1305183.7
1360178.2
6864103.3
Blue262
2013121.5
6323145.8
5039125.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408250100200300500600700262262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.7
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 37.9
6323
#11
145.8
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
Second
178.2
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
red by 52.7
5039
#25
125.5
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
Third
6864
#26
103.3
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
blue by 18.2
2013
#24
121.5
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1