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Red234
6323145.8
5672130.5
5039125.5
Blue173
2013121.5
6987100.1
2386137.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833000100200400500600234173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6323
#11
145.813.6
96.6110.2
Auto16.1
Teleop107.6
End26.7
red by 7.9
2386
#12
137.913.4
98.9112.3
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
Second
130.516.1
73.389.4
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
red by 9.0
2013
#24
121.513.3
99.2112.6
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1
Third
5039
#25
125.515.9
75.391.2
Auto15.4
Teleop96.5
End11.6
red by 25.4
6987
#28
100.131.5
109.277.7
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed