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Red146
2852126.9
6336110.1
1325157.2
Blue404
1360178.2
865143.8
6864103.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442620100200300400500600700800146404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.25.7
121.8127.5
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
blue by 21.0
178.29.2
120.8130.1
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
Second
2852
#15
126.97.4
127.2134.6
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
blue by 16.9
865
#7
143.83.2
110.8114.0
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
Third
6336
#18
110.17.4
113.9121.3
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
red by 6.7
6864
#26
103.38.7
86.495.2
Auto15.7
Teleop79.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned