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Red309
686595.3
4914151.2
1325157.2
Blue109
6987100.1
6331110.4
1310156.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582770100200400500600700309109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.5
127.5128.0
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
red by 1.3
156.08.0
132.4140.4
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
Second
151.28.3
119.8128.1
Auto16.8
Teleop113.6
End20.6
red by 40.9
6331
#16
110.40.6
111.9111.3
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
Third
6865
#27
95.31.9
92.494.3
Auto12.2
Teleop78.1
End6.1
blue by 4.9
6987
#28
100.11.7
90.592.2
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed