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Red225
1360178.2
77394.7
6336110.1
Blue198
3543110.3
4039163.1
5672130.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283314100200400500600225198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.210.1
130.1140.2
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
red by 15.1
163.18.2
138.5146.7
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
Second
6336
#18
110.11.7
121.3123.0
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
blue by 20.5
130.57.8
109.2117.0
Auto16.6
Teleop99.2
End14.9
Third
773
#23
94.74.5
94.298.6
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
blue by 15.5
3543
#14
110.34.4
104.6109.0
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed