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Red314
865143.8
2386137.9
1305183.7
Blue122
5024134.9
2852126.9
686595.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592300100200300400500600314122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.75.5
149.3154.8
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 48.8
5024
#22
134.90.2
129.0128.8
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End14.8
Second
865
#7
143.83.4
125.6129.1
Auto16.0
Teleop109.1
End20.2
red by 16.9
2852
#15
126.91.2
132.9131.7
Auto15.2
Teleop98.5
End11.3
Third
2386
#12
137.92.3
121.9124.3
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
red by 42.6
6865
#27
95.33.6
96.5100.2
Auto12.2
Teleop78.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed