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Red193
77394.7
2013121.5
3543110.3
Blue419
6987100.1
2386137.9
1305183.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1763410100300400500193419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#24
121.51.7
125.0123.2
Auto15.4
Teleop90.8
End19.1
blue by 62.2
183.74.0
154.8158.8
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
Second
3543
#14
110.30.0
112.2112.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.0
End6.0
blue by 27.6
2386
#12
137.91.8
124.3126.1
Auto15.3
Teleop107.7
End18.0
Third
773
#23
94.72.9
98.595.6
Auto12.8
Teleop80.1
End3.9
blue by 5.4
6987
#28
100.10.6
92.893.5
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned