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Red441
1305183.7
1360178.2
4968118.0
Blue119
6336110.1
6859119.0
6987100.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4051470100200300500600441119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.75.3
158.8164.0
Auto18.2
Teleop130.7
End37.8
red by 64.7
6859
#20
119.00.1
120.7120.7
Auto13.8
Teleop92.1
End11.5
Second
178.22.1
156.7158.7
Auto21.8
Teleop133.7
End26.1
red by 68.1
6336
#18
110.13.0
118.8115.8
Auto15.5
Teleop84.7
End11.5
Third
4968
#13
118.01.6
109.0110.7
Auto16.3
Teleop90.8
End10.3
red by 17.9
6987
#28
100.12.9
93.596.4
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed