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Red230
1310156.0
4903168.9
6331110.4
Blue439
4039163.1
1325157.2
6987100.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305328150200250350400450500550230439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.90.1
168.8168.9
Auto21.9
Teleop122.4
End24.4
red by 5.8
163.10.9
160.6161.5
Auto26.7
Teleop120.3
End16.8
Second
156.00.1
156.0156.0
Auto21.3
Teleop114.5
End18.1
blue by 1.3
157.21.0
154.3155.3
Auto20.5
Teleop123.3
End15.2
Third
6331
#16
110.40.1
110.4110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop82.0
End14.0
red by 10.2
6987
#28
100.10.0
99.9100.0
Auto13.4
Teleop72.1
End14.5