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Red536
1325202.3
2056250.2
6875123.3
Blue244
2852140.2
2702158.1
6378163.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4752490100200300400600700536244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.20.1
249.7249.8
Auto28.6
Teleop179.3
End42.7
red by 86.7
6378
#24
163.40.1
163.5163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Second
202.30.2
201.4201.6
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 44.2
2702
#11
158.10.2
157.9158.1
Auto22.5
Teleop107.8
End28.1
Third
6875
#20
123.30.3
122.0122.3
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
blue by 16.9
2852
#32
140.20.2
140.4140.2
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1