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Red180
3683182.5
1305220.3
7329142.0
Blue382
2200177.8
2013167.9
4814142.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453300100200400500600700800180382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.30.4
219.6220.0
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
red by 42.6
2200
#15
177.80.2
178.9178.7
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
Second
182.50.1
183.1183.0
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
red by 14.6
167.90.7
163.4164.1
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
7329
#21
142.00.4
143.4143.0
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
blue by 0.3
4814
#13
142.30.4
140.0140.4
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0