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Red265
2386155.7
2013167.9
6917130.3
Blue432
5036172.7
6867135.6
4618179.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321374200300400500265432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.90.9
148.5149.4
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
blue by 11.8
179.70.2
173.4173.3
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
Second
2386
#16
155.70.2
151.0150.8
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
blue by 17.0
5036
#17
172.70.5
175.1175.6
Auto23.5
Teleop129.7
End19.2
Third
6917
#27
130.30.0
135.8135.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.2
End16.7
blue by 5.3
6867
#39
135.60.9
136.7135.9
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed