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Red364
7329142.0
1325202.3
3161151.9
Blue282
4678185.8
1334153.3
772196.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315402200500600700364282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.3
201.7202.0
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 5.7
772
#19
196.60.9
201.5202.4
Auto26.3
Teleop143.6
End25.3
Second
3161
#29
151.90.6
154.4153.7
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
blue by 34.0
185.81.1
181.8180.7
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
Third
7329
#21
142.00.1
140.1139.9
Auto21.8
Teleop101.1
End17.6
blue by 11.3
1334
#37
153.30.0
159.8159.7
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed