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Red333
5036172.7
4343146.1
4814142.3
Blue215
6141112.3
6544145.4
4914138.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387298200500600333215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#17
172.71.1
175.6176.7
Auto23.5
Teleop129.7
End19.2
red by 27.3
6544
#22
145.41.2
142.9144.1
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
Second
4343
#25
146.10.0
155.5155.5
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
red by 7.5
4914
#34
138.60.4
149.5149.1
Auto16.4
Teleop108.5
End12.9
Third
4814
#13
142.30.7
129.9130.6
Auto19.4
Teleop107.5
End17.0
red by 30.0
6141
#36
112.30.7
110.5109.8
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed