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Red437
1325202.3
4618179.7
2200177.8
Blue166
1285153.9
4343146.1
3161151.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453292100200400500600700437166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.30.8
202.8203.5
Auto22.4
Teleop153.9
End26.3
red by 48.4
1285
#33
153.90.5
163.3162.7
Auto19.1
Teleop113.0
End19.8
Second
179.70.6
173.7174.3
Auto19.9
Teleop138.2
End20.4
red by 27.8
3161
#29
151.90.3
153.8154.1
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
Third
2200
#15
177.80.1
179.0179.2
Auto23.5
Teleop114.9
End38.0
red by 31.7
4343
#25
146.10.2
155.1154.9
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned