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Red421
6378163.4
2386155.7
4678185.8
Blue226
6336125.2
5834129.1
4936153.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407238100200300500600700421226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.80.8
179.0178.2
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
red by 32.0
4936
#30
153.80.6
147.3147.9
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
Second
6378
#24
163.40.6
164.9164.3
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
red by 34.3
5834
#23
129.10.5
122.8122.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
Third
2386
#16
155.70.2
149.9150.0
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
red by 30.5
6336
#38
125.21.2
118.8120.0
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed