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Red297
2386155.7
5426150.7
6867135.6
Blue381
3683182.5
4678185.8
6875123.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973870100200500600700800297381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#16
155.70.4
150.0150.4
Auto16.9
Teleop119.6
End19.2
blue by 30.1
185.80.4
178.2177.8
Auto25.6
Teleop145.9
End14.9
Second
5426
#10
150.70.2
157.6157.8
Auto19.4
Teleop99.1
End31.4
blue by 31.8
182.50.4
182.8183.3
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
Third
6867
#39
135.60.8
135.5134.6
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
red by 12.3
6875
#20
123.30.0
115.5115.5
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed