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Red355
3161151.9
6544145.4
2702158.1
Blue434
2013167.9
6875123.3
5834129.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395272100200500600700355434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#11
158.12.1
151.8153.9
Auto22.5
Teleop107.8
End28.1
blue by 9.7
167.91.2
155.8157.0
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Second
3161
#29
151.90.4
151.5151.1
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
red by 22.7
5834
#23
129.10.8
122.5123.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
Third
6544
#22
145.40.5
143.9144.4
Auto16.3
Teleop104.8
End21.4
red by 22.1
6875
#20
123.30.9
116.9117.7
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned