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Red484
2706176.6
4476193.7
5834129.1
Blue232
4343146.1
1305220.3
6875123.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3743500100200300500600700484232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
193.70.5
193.5193.1
Auto22.4
Teleop154.1
End16.7
blue by 26.6
220.31.1
217.2218.3
Auto23.3
Teleop157.1
End40.2
Second
176.60.3
172.8173.1
Auto20.0
Teleop129.5
End26.7
red by 30.5
4343
#25
146.11.3
150.5149.3
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Third
5834
#23
129.12.0
123.3125.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.5
End23.3
red by 5.8
6875
#20
123.32.0
117.7119.7
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned52%Face the Boss oddsEarned