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Red205
3683182.5
6141112.3
1334153.3
Blue466
188163.1
6978149.0
6336125.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374298200400500600205466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.50.5
184.0184.5
Auto19.9
Teleop135.9
End25.7
red by 19.3
188
#18
163.10.9
155.4156.3
Auto23.5
Teleop122.3
End19.2
Second
1334
#37
153.30.1
157.8157.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.6
End18.8
red by 4.4
6978
#28
149.01.1
149.4148.3
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
Third
6141
#36
112.31.5
110.6112.1
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
blue by 12.8
6336
#38
125.20.1
122.3122.4
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed