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Red275
6978149.0
6141112.3
4936153.8
Blue419
3161151.9
4903174.8
2013167.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287402100200500600700275419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#30
153.80.9
152.1152.9
Auto20.5
Teleop113.0
End23.1
blue by 21.0
4903
#26
174.80.6
175.7175.2
Auto24.5
Teleop122.7
End25.2
Second
6978
#28
149.00.3
148.3148.6
Auto19.7
Teleop116.6
End15.4
blue by 18.9
167.92.0
159.3161.3
Auto21.1
Teleop123.3
End25.4
Third
6141
#36
112.30.0
112.1112.1
Auto18.0
Teleop85.0
End10.9
blue by 39.5
3161
#29
151.90.2
150.9151.2
Auto14.9
Teleop120.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed