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Red279
6336125.2
6875123.3
6867135.6
Blue376
2852140.2
4343146.1
6331111.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093280200400600800279376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6867
#39
135.60.3
135.9135.6
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End16.7
blue by 10.5
4343
#25
146.11.6
147.7146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
Second
6336
#38
125.21.6
123.5125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 15.1
2852
#32
140.21.4
141.9140.5
Auto17.8
Teleop105.8
End13.1
Third
6875
#20
123.30.9
120.8121.7
Auto19.5
Teleop89.0
End15.9
red by 11.5
6331
#12
111.82.1
109.7111.8
Auto17.7
Teleop77.0
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed