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Red226
1114225.4
1241239.6
4308135.5
Blue441
4917213.5
5406205.6
4939138.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425352100200300500600700800900226441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.4
240.0239.6
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 26.2
213.50.1
213.4213.5
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
Second
225.40.1
225.3225.4
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 19.7
205.60.2
205.5205.6
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
Third
4308
#20
135.50.1
135.6135.5
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
blue by 2.7
4939
#16
138.20.1
138.1138.2
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7