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Red410
4917213.5
5406205.6
4939138.2
Blue304
1310149.6
5596159.2
907151.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4312940100200400500600700410304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.50.0
213.3213.3
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
red by 54.3
5596
#10
159.20.2
159.0159.2
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
Second
205.60.0
205.3205.3
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
red by 54.0
907
#28
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
Third
4939
#16
138.20.0
138.1138.1
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
blue by 11.4
1310
#17
149.60.4
149.2149.6
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1