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Red267
1360208.8
5596159.2
4069153.1
Blue386
4976190.8
4946173.3
5406205.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3144220100200500600700800267386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.80.5
199.1199.6
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
red by 3.2
205.60.7
196.8197.5
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
Second
5596
#10
159.22.2
144.4146.6
Auto20.5
Teleop110.9
End28.3
blue by 31.6
4976
#12
190.80.5
189.3189.8
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
Third
4069
#18
153.12.9
130.3133.1
Auto22.8
Teleop107.3
End23.2
blue by 20.2
173.30.8
172.7171.9
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned45%Face the Boss oddsEarned