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Red494
1114225.4
771105.6
1310149.6
Blue188
6987109.2
7013134.8
4976190.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357267100200300400500600494188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.40.2
211.2210.9
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 34.6
4976
#12
190.80.4
189.8190.2
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
Second
1310
#17
149.62.0
135.2137.3
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
red by 14.9
7013
#30
134.80.1
136.0136.2
Auto25.2
Teleop95.0
End15.3
Third
771
#35
105.60.5
101.8102.3
Auto17.6
Teleop76.7
End13.1
blue by 3.6
6987
#39
109.20.6
102.9103.4
Auto17.3
Teleop79.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed