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Red334
2609163.2
1246157.3
4688152.5
Blue329
4968137.3
2634146.9
4917213.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3294150200600800334329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#14
163.21.0
159.9160.9
Auto24.5
Teleop120.1
End17.6
blue by 50.3
213.50.2
217.6217.4
Auto28.2
Teleop149.3
End35.7
Second
1246
#22
157.31.1
155.7156.8
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
red by 10.4
2634
#24
146.91.1
145.6146.8
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Third
4688
#13
152.50.6
144.5145.1
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
red by 15.2
4968
#37
137.30.6
135.7136.3
Auto20.5
Teleop98.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsMissed