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Red278
3739125.9
4688152.5
7058130.2
Blue430
4946173.3
1360208.8
907151.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2474490100200300400500600700800278430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4688
#13
152.50.5
145.1145.6
Auto21.4
Teleop113.8
End19.3
blue by 56.3
208.81.0
200.7201.7
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
Second
7058
#32
130.20.8
131.0131.9
Auto20.3
Teleop95.9
End13.1
blue by 43.1
173.31.2
170.5169.4
Auto23.5
Teleop125.0
End25.1
Third
3739
#40
125.91.5
129.6128.0
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
blue by 25.7
907
#28
151.60.1
152.3152.4
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed