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Red403
7267121.1
6854113.8
907151.6
Blue270
4939138.2
4308135.5
1246157.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288370100200500600700403270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
907
#28
151.60.7
152.6152.0
Auto17.3
Teleop111.1
End20.6
blue by 5.7
1246
#22
157.30.4
158.3157.9
Auto22.3
Teleop110.6
End25.5
Second
7267
#29
121.11.3
108.2109.5
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2
blue by 17.1
4939
#16
138.20.7
139.6140.3
Auto20.6
Teleop100.8
End14.7
Third
6854
#19
113.80.9
110.3111.2
Auto17.0
Teleop85.8
End8.4
blue by 21.7
4308
#20
135.50.5
131.9132.4
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed