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Red239
4039173.9
6632137.3
5885136.9
Blue499
4704122.9
5039148.0
5406205.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299358100200400500600239499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.91.5
167.1168.5
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
blue by 31.8
205.61.0
200.9201.9
Auto24.2
Teleop144.6
End37.1
Second
6632
#33
137.30.8
137.9137.1
Auto19.0
Teleop100.9
End18.0
blue by 10.7
5039
#27
148.00.4
145.6145.9
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
Third
5885
#25
136.90.7
133.3134.0
Auto19.6
Teleop93.0
End25.3
red by 14.0
4704
#31
122.90.2
123.5123.7
Auto18.6
Teleop95.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned34%Face the Boss oddsEarned