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Red444
1360208.8
1310149.6
6009151.0
Blue269
2634146.9
4039173.9
5039148.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042990100200500600700444269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.80.5
207.5208.0
Auto26.1
Teleop153.5
End29.3
red by 35.0
173.90.5
172.9173.5
Auto25.8
Teleop134.5
End14.7
Second
6009
#26
151.00.2
150.5150.7
Auto16.6
Teleop113.2
End21.6
red by 3.0
5039
#27
148.00.1
148.0148.1
Auto19.5
Teleop113.8
End13.8
Third
1310
#17
149.61.4
147.3148.7
Auto23.1
Teleop114.0
End12.1
red by 2.7
2634
#24
146.90.1
146.8146.9
Auto15.7
Teleop108.0
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed