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Red405
1114225.4
1241239.6
4308135.5
Blue244
4976190.8
865187.8
7267121.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4533020100200400500600700800405244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
239.60.3
240.6240.4
Auto24.4
Teleop178.2
End34.3
red by 48.9
4976
#12
190.80.0
190.8190.8
Auto20.3
Teleop148.7
End20.8
Second
225.40.3
224.9225.1
Auto24.9
Teleop169.8
End29.0
red by 37.6
865
#7
187.80.5
187.4187.8
Auto25.2
Teleop132.4
End30.4
Third
4308
#20
135.50.1
135.5135.6
Auto19.7
Teleop100.4
End14.3
red by 14.4
7267
#29
121.10.4
120.7121.1
Auto16.8
Teleop95.3
End10.2