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Red398
1325202.5
2056250.2
6875123.6
Blue386
4917213.9
5406206.1
4939138.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4213420100200300500600700800398386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
250.20.0
250.2250.1
Auto28.5
Teleop179.4
End42.9
red by 36.3
4917
Unranked
213.90.2
213.5213.7
Auto28.0
Teleop149.9
End35.8
Second
1325
Unranked
202.50.1
202.3202.4
Auto22.4
Teleop154.0
End26.6
blue by 3.6
5406
Unranked
206.10.2
205.6205.8
Auto24.1
Teleop145.1
End37.2
Third
6875
Unranked
123.60.1
123.3123.4
Auto19.7
Teleop89.0
End16.1
blue by 14.9
4939
Unranked
138.50.1
138.2138.3
Auto20.6
Teleop101.4
End14.8