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Red423
6867146.6
1075110.7
2702173.8
Blue183
1241202.9
5406185.4
3571100.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26739402006008001,000423183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.81.0
169.1170.1
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
blue by 29.1
202.90.8
208.7207.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
Second
146.61.8
139.4141.2
Auto22.8
Teleop105.0
End19.3
blue by 38.8
185.40.9
184.3185.2
Auto18.7
Teleop140.2
End26.6
Third
1075
#10
110.70.5
107.8108.3
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
red by 10.1
3571
#19
100.61.2
100.2101.5
Auto13.7
Teleop81.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned41%Face the Boss oddsMissed